Sorry, I’ve missed you, but we’re back!
|It’s been said that “opportunity comes knocking.” And that’s certainly the case for people looking to purchase or refinance a home, as home loan rates remain near 18-month lows.In recent weeks, investors have moved into the safe haven of the Bond markets for several reasons, including weak economic data here at home, concerns about Ebola, and economic and geopolitical uncertainty overseas. This has helped Mortgage Bonds reach 18-month highs, and since home loan rates are tied to Mortgage Bonds, rates have reached 18-month lows.
In addition, Stocks have been volatile due to the upcoming end of the Fed’s Bond-buying program. The Fed has been slowly tapering its purchases throughout the year, and every indication is that the Fed will completely end the program at its meeting on October 28 to 29. The key takeaway is that Stocks performed terribly after the first and second rounds of the Fed’s Bond-buying program ended. If Stocks worsen, Mortgage Bonds and home loan rates could continue to improve.
In other news, key housing reports showed mixed results for the sector. September Existing Home Sales reached its highest pace of the year, showing gains in all major regions except for the Midwest. September New Home Sales also reached a six-year high. However, New Home Sales for August, which were originally reported at 504,000, were revised to 466,000. Sales in June and July were also revised lower.
The bottom line is that home loan rates remain near some of their best levels of the year, and now is a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients.
|Forecast for the Week|
|A packed economic calendar is in store this week. Plus, the Fed meeting could cause volatility in the markets.
In addition, the Fed’s next two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee begins Tuesday, with the Monetary Policy Statement being released on Wednesday. Investors will be watching closely to see if the Fed fully tapers its ongoing Bond-buying program. This announcement has the potential to create volatility in the markets.
Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.
When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving—and when they are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.
To go one step further—a red “candle” means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green “candle” means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes were on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.
As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds remain near 18-month highs, helping home loan rates reach 18-month lows. I’ll continue to monitor them closely.
Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday October 24, 2014)
|The Mortgage Market Guide View…|
|3 Steps to Becoming an ExpertPeter Economy, management expert and co-author of the bestselling book, “Managing for Dummies,” says the secret to being more valuable at your job, revitalizing your career, or getting paid more is simple—become an expert. He recommends the following three steps to get there:
Step 1. Understand what you’re interested in. What you already know can put you within short reach of being an expert in your field (if you aren’t one already). This is the least time-intensive route. But if what you’re already doing no longer interests you, you must find something inspiring enough to make learning feel effortless.
Step 2. Focus on one thing at a time. Learn too many things at once and you’ll be overwhelmed and probably fail. Don’t move on to the next subject of your expertise until you feel comfortable with the one you’re working on now.
Step 3. Practice makes perfect. There’s no such thing as an overnight expert. Be willing to invest the time for:
Please feel free to pass these tips along to your team, clients and colleagues.
Economic Calendar for the Week of October 27 – October 31